Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.046777 0.050903 0.055085 0.059633 0.064434 0.069343 0.074735
2024-10-06 0.040971 0.047122 0.053586 0.060856 0.068778 0.077121 0.086547
2024-10-13 0.036297 0.043922 0.052198 0.061784 0.072518 0.084104 0.097494
2024-10-20 0.031504 0.040057 0.049635 0.061038 0.074127 0.088568 0.105593
2024-10-27 0.028524 0.037922 0.048743 0.061936 0.077399 0.094775 0.115594
2024-11-03 0.025307 0.035189 0.046883 0.061473 0.078920 0.098859 0.123110
2024-11-10 0.022950 0.033272 0.045800 0.061758 0.081179 0.103704 0.131454
2024-11-17 0.021183 0.031926 0.045271 0.062587 0.083993 0.109143 0.140471
2024-11-24 0.020621 0.032061 0.046534 0.065590 0.089432 0.117719 0.153249
2024-12-01 0.018039 0.029320 0.043966 0.063644 0.088670 0.118758 0.156974
2024-12-08 0.016290 0.027570 0.042561 0.063061 0.089507 0.121665 0.162899
2024-12-15 0.014823 0.026097 0.041421 0.062733 0.090593 0.124829 0.169108
2024-12-22 0.014321 0.026010 0.042177 0.064953 0.095030 0.132281 0.180772
2024-12-29 0.013487 0.025373 0.042138 0.066096 0.098082 0.138037 0.190412
2025-01-05 0.012644 0.024658 0.041941 0.066994 0.100805 0.143393 0.199596
2025-01-12 0.011353 0.023148 0.040531 0.066160 0.101197 0.145762 0.205037
2025-01-19 0.010679 0.022561 0.040413 0.067083 0.103907 0.151094 0.214231
2025-01-26 0.009678 0.021360 0.039320 0.066581 0.104660 0.153882 0.220199
2025-02-02 0.008967 0.020584 0.038816 0.066874 0.106464 0.158022 0.227894
2025-02-09 0.008455 0.020107 0.038733 0.067746 0.109042 0.163170 0.236895
2025-02-16 0.008509 0.020635 0.040214 0.070914 0.114818 0.172563 0.251427
2025-02-23 0.007404 0.018974 0.038186 0.068859 0.113290 0.172277 0.253423
2025-03-02 0.006696 0.017982 0.037163 0.068243 0.113733 0.174577 0.258761